Category Archives: Polls

Woohoo!

The latest Zogby Analytics survey gives Trump a 45% approval rating. The increase is driven by big gains among Hispanics, union households and voters in the West.

I voted for Trump

Source:

IF I FIND ANYTHING BRIEF, BUT INTERESTING, I’LL STICK IT IN COMMENTS.

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Filed under Donald Trump, Polls

Lying with Statistics

Miki's dog

There is a new ABC/Washington Post poll bleating about how Trump’s approval numbers are “plummeting.”

It’s FAKE NEWS.

  • The poll sample was 35% Democrat vs. 23% Republican vs. 35% Independent.
  • America is currently 30% Democrat vs. 26% Republican vs. 42% Independent.

The poll over-sampled Democrats by 5 points and under-sampled Republicans by 3 points. That’s an 8 point error spread right there. Add in the 7 point under-sampling of Independents and you’ve got a poll that was designed to create a FAKE NEWS headline.

Interesting factoid: Even with this left-skewed sample, Trump scored 43% approval on the economy!

Source:

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Filed under Democrats, Polls, Republicans

Serious Stuff

Democrats Sink To New Low in Favorability Polls
The strategy of resistance, obstruction and sabotage everything Trump is clearly not working. But there is zero indication Democrats plan to alter this strategy.
Fox news reports on the poll and asks Dem hack Brad Woodhouse about the new numbers. He starts with the usual talking points- Republicans gonna take away health care from 23 million

Texas judge who admitted to using ecstasy and marijuana and sexting her bailiff is suspended from the bench
Texas Justice of the Peace Hilary Green was suspended from the bench on Friday
Green, who has been serving since 2007, was suspended after allegedly admitting to using hard drugs and trading sexts with her bailiff
However, the 46-year-old mother-of-one says that her ‘misuse’ of drugs had no impact on her work life and she plans to fight the suspension
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4682112/Judge-admitted-using-drugs-sexting-bailiff.html#ixzz4mXojbe5H

One Hamptons party explains what’s wrong with American politics
For anyone still wondering why Middle America’s so angry, just take a look at the guest list for the annual bash thrown by Washington Post heiress Lally Weymouth, currently the paper’s senior associate editor, in the Hamptons last week.

It was full of politicians and power brokers — the ones who pantomime outrage daily, accusing the other side of crushing the little guy, sure that the same voter will never guess that behind closed doors, they all get along.

Ivanka Trump and Jared Kushner partied with billionaire Democratic donor George Soros, who rubbed shoulders with billionaire GOP donor David Koch.
http://nypost.com/2017/07/10/why-ordinary-americans-hold-politicians-and-media-in-contempt-all-in-one-hamptons-party/

WaPo Violent Rhetoric: ‘Kill Fox And Friends’

New Role As Pitch Woman? Hillary Poses With ‘Nasty Woman’ T-Shirt To Support Samantha Bee And Planned Parenthood
http://wetheconservatives.com/2017/07/11/hillary-clinton-reduced-to-selling-tee-shirts/

Tim Kaine: Russia Investigation ‘Potentially’ Moving Toward ‘Treason’
The New York Times recently reported that Trump Jr. sought information that could be damaging to Hillary Clinton’s campaign in a meeting with Russian lawyer Natalia Veselnitskaya.
“Do you think this is treason?” CNN’s Manu Raju asked Kaine, who was Clinton’s running mate in the 2016 election.
“Nothing’s been proven yet but we’re beyond obstruction of justice just in terms of what’s being investigated,” Kaine said. “This is moving into perjury, false statements, and even potentially treason.”

http://dailycaller.com/2017/07/11/tim-kaine-trump-jr-meeting-with-russian-lawyer-possibly-treason-video/

Republicans increasingly think colleges are harming the U.S.
A new survey from the Pew Research Center finds that a majority of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents (58 percent) now think that colleges and universities are having a negative impact on the United States. That’s up from 45 percent last year.
For comparison, most Democrats and Democratic leaners (72 percent) think that institutions of higher learning are having a positive effect on the country, which is consistent with poll results from recent years.
Attacks on free speech, political bias among professors and demonstrations seeking to cancel invitations to speakers with unpopular views have all become talking points among conservative pundits. Among the right, “safe spaces,” “trigger warnings” and “micro-aggressions” have become shorthand for thin-skinned liberal students who cannot handle opposing points of view.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/republicans-increasingly-think-colleges-harming-u-s-201700970.html

Smackdown! Kellyanne Conway vs. Chris Cuomo
IF NOT FOR HIS LAST NAME THIS PUNK WOULD BE MIXING PAINT AT HOME DEPOT
Here’s the abbreviated version.

And if you’ve got a half hour, here’s the whole thing.

‘Comedian’ George Lopez : ‘Make the Country Safe, Deport the Police!’
George Lopez should keep to “comedy” and leave politics to the adults.
“The Trump administration is deporting Latinos to make the streets safer. You wanna make the streets safer, deport the police.”
Lopez is just another entertainer trying to make himself relevant by mocking the president and bashing the police.
His message was met immediately with backlash.
Liberals want to make the argument that police are out hunting minorities, despite the fact that, time and again, this is proven false. And they wonder why they continue to lose public support!
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2017/07/comedian-george-lopez-make-country-safe-deport-police/

Obama’s West Wing frat house. Aide tells how all-white speech team called each other ‘bro’, drank, exploited their jobs to sleep with women, made d*** jokes – and president deployed the f-bomb
In a lighthearted new memoir, former Senior Presidential Speechwriter David Litt recalls working for the president at the tender age of 24
In Thanks, Obama: My Hopey Changey White House Years, he pulls the curtain back on the president’s famed Correspondent’s dinner speeches
He also lifts the lid on the surprising bro-culture in the White House revealing how some aides called each other ‘bro’ and pretended to like college basketball
Litt admits some staff members used their credentials to sleep with women
He reveals Obama ditched an Osama bin Laden joke at the 2011 Correspondent’s dinner, weeks before the wanted man’s death
Although the former president always proved charismatic on stage, Litt said Obama struggled with timing during speech rehearsals.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4675908/Obama-s-speechwriter-tells-new-memoir.html#ixzz4mXwkrDmc

Dem Mayor Under Indictment Wants Taxpayers to Buy Her a New Car
THINK YOU’VE HEARD OF CORRUPTION? CHECK THIS OUT
Mayor Randy “Rambo” McCallum Sr. came into office telling cops, “I run this mother___” and ordered them to rob competing drug dealers and split the money with him. When drug dealers were busted, the seized drugs and money were brought to his house where he pocketed the money and resold the drugs.
McCallum Sr. stole so much money that there were no bank deposits for a year. When an undercover informant went to his house, he found crack cocaine on the kitchen table being prepped for sale.
There’s more. There’s more than anything you want to imagine or believe. And now there are new events in Alorton’s political establishment.
The first agenda item under “new business” for tonight’s village board meeting after mayor elect Joann Reed’s swearing in is a proposal to buy her a new car at public expense for her exclusive use.
Reed is facing prosecution by St. Clair County State’s Attorney Brendan Kelly. She is charged with felony vote buying and misdemeanor electioneering. If convicted of the felony charge, Kelly could ask a judge to remove her from office…
Mayor JoAnn Reed, Alorton’s current mayor, faced her own set of charges before the election for smuggling a cell phone into jail after her niece had attacked a pregnant woman. The niece posted “I’m in jail but auntie snuck me my phone don’t tell no 1” on Facebook.
Despite these charges, Reed won the election.
She got $1,500 in campaign cash from the law firm of county Democratic boss Robert Sprague, $1,000 from the firm of Belleville attorney Tom Keefe, $8,000 from her attorney Mark Scoggins and $1,000 from County Board Chairman Mark Kern.
They served her cash and she served them the public’s votes. She again is facing a felony, this time for vote buying and electioneering.
http://www.frontpagemag.com/point/266687/dem-mayor-under-indictment-wants-taxpayers-buy-her-daniel-greenfield

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Filed under Chris Cuomo, Democrats, Donald Trump, Education, Government Corruption, Hillary Clinton, Kellyanne Conway, Polls, Republicans, Russia, Tim Kaine

Stock Exchange Prez ‘Unquestionably’ Credits Trump for Economic Improvements

Less than three months into his first term, President Trump has now had more meetings with business leaders than former President Barack Obama had in his entire eight years.

When asked if Trump’s agenda was a “big reason” for recent signs of economic improvement, the president of the New York Stock Exchange said, “Unquestionably.”

2017_04 09 GALLUP economic daily

The MSM have virtually ignored these stories.

A recent Gallup poll showed 62% of Americans now believe the MSM only cares about making Democrats look good.

Sources:

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Filed under Media Bias, Polls

“The days of economic surrender are OVER.”

I heard that Trump’s approval at Gallup has dropped.  I am 100% sure this has much more to do with the MSM’s relentless criticism than it does with what Trump is actually doing.

During the previous administration, they ignored the president’s flubs, scandals, historical ignorance and serial lies.  Today, they give zero credit where credit is greatly due, while focusing obsessively on truly stupid stuff.

I stopped listening to them during the Bush administration, when I realized the Iraq War they were describing was 180 degrees different from what my own kids, whose boots were on the ground, were telling me about.

If you watch nothing but the MSM news, you probably have no idea that our country is doing well.

Here is President Trump’s weekly address.  What he talks about matches the economic indicators that show big increases in job creation and a remarkable drop in our national debt, hopeful things the MSM is probably not telling you about.

3/18/17: Weekly Address [3:47]

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Filed under Barack Obama, Donald Trump, Media Bias, Polls

It’s the Economy, Stupid

The Trump presidency has been a success so far from a standpoint of increased optimism for the future of business. Still, the media will continue to give credit to a radical Muslim pretending to be an American. His entire tenure was mired in wasteful spending, special treatment for drag queens and fellow Muslims, and throwing hundreds of billions at climate change and hordes of illegal criminals rushing here to suck on the taxpayer teat and commit the crimes white America will not do. His crushing taxes and regulations caused a negative rate of economic growth not seen in this country before, the Great Depression included.

Obama Says “Jobs Are Just Not Coming Back” …Then Trump Adds 298,000 Jobs in First Month

Barack Obama, the worst president in modern history, was asked in June 2016 about the Carrier Corp jobs in Indiana.

Obama responded (in black dialect), “When somebody says like the person you just mentioned who I’m not going to advertise for, that he’s going to bring all these jobs back. Well how exactly are you going to do that? What are you going to do? There’s uh-uh no answer to it. He just says. “I’m going to negotiate a better deal.” Well how? How exactly are you going to negotiate that? What magic wand do you have? And usually the answer is, he doesn’t have an answer.”

Trump’s first full month in office brings massive employment boom as U.S. companies added whopping 298,000 new jobs in February

New job figures from ADP beat economists’ estimates by more than 100,000


Need a job? Home Depot hiring 80,000 employees

STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — At a time when many companies are decreasing staff, big box retailer Home Depot is seeking to hire 80,000 employees to fill its stores nationwide by spring.

And the national retailer is touting the shorter time — just 15 minutes — it will take to apply for a job via its website.

Applying for a job at the world’s largest home improvement retailer now takes about 15 minutes using any device, thanks to a shorter application and mobile-optimized ‘careers’ site at careers.homedepot.com,” said the company in a statement.

HUGE: Electronics GIANT Has Big News For America

Technology giant Samsung Electronics Co. has announced that they are planning to increase manufacturing in the United States by opening another production plant.
If this isn’t indicative of Trump’s ability to use his business savvy to convince the leaders of large corporations and businesses to expand in America and create new jobs, I don’t know what is. His first two months have been spectacular for the economy, if absolutely nothing else. You have to respect that, I don’t care who you are.

In First 2 Months in Office: Trump Reduced Debt by $100 Billion – Obama Increased Debt by $400 Billion

On January 20th, the day of President Trump’s Inauguration, the US Debt stood at $19,947 billion. As of March 16th, the most recent date for US debt reporting, the US Debt stands at $19,846 billion. President Trump has cut the US Debt burden by over $100 billion and 0.5% in the first two months since his inauguration!


By comparison, under President Obama, the US Debt burden increased by more than $400 billion after his inauguration through March 19th 2009, his first two months in office.

POLLS ARE POLLS. DESPITE THE OPTIMISM PEOPLE HAVE ABOUT THE ECONOMY, THE MEDIA WILL CONTINUE TO HAMMER HIM FROM EVERY QUARTER.

Trump Approval Rating Drops To 40 Percent In Latest Gallup Poll

According to the recent one conducted by Gallup, only 40 percent of Americans approve of the job he has done in office so far while 55 percent disapprove. At this point in Barack Obama’s presidency, his approval rating was 63 percent.

Gallup polled an estimated 1,500 people nationwide.

IT’S NO SECRET THEY CAN MAKE POLLS SAY WHATEVER THEY WANT THEM TO SAY.

Donald Trump, Rosie the Riveter, and the Revival of American Economic Nationalism

Sometimes big ideas get small coverage. Unfortunately, that was the case with President Trump’s March 15 trip to Michigan, in which he raised an important idea—arguably the most important economic-policy idea in U.S. history—and yet his words received almost no attention.

Media No Longer Considers the President Leader of the Free World

When Donald Trump won the election, however, several media outlets published articles suggesting that the president of the United States could no longer be called the leader of the free world because of his worldview.

The latest example is a Politico article published Thursday, titled “The Leader of the Free World Meets Donald Trump,” which describes President Trump’s meeting Friday with German Chancellor Angela Merkel. The article was written by James Rubin, who served as assistant secretary of state for public affairs under former President Bill Clinton.

Rubin writes that Merkel is the “last best hope” for Western civilization, arguing the U.S. abandoned its role as a world leader to solve the Syria conflict while Germany led by taking in Syrian refugees.

Late-night shows turn mean for Trump ‘jokes’

However, historically the comedic-poking zeal is always higher for Republicans like Gerald Ford, George W. Bush and Sarah Palin. Jokes about Trump’s predecessor were gentler and basically ignored his malapropisms, historical ignorance and serial ObamaCare lies.

The current late-night tone seems designed more to appeal to the 50 percent of the country that convinced itself Hillary Clinton would be the 45th president. The historic Trump upset Nov. 8 made that defeat sting all the more. So divided is the country now that many Trump supporters soak up the Trump antipathy just to revel in liberals’ pained discomfort.

G-20 Drops Anti-Protectionist Pledge as Price of U.S. Assent

In two days of meetings in the German town of Baden-Baden, the argument by U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, in his first appearance at an international forum in the role, reflects claims by President Donald Trump that his nation has had a bad deal from the current global trade setup. That attitude pitched him against most other delegates, who favored a multilateral, rules-based system as embodied in the World Trade Organization.

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Filed under Donald Trump, Economy, News Media, Polls

Enough is enough already!

2017_03 04 Media v Trump POLL

The mainstream media’s open hostility to President Trump may be starting to backfire, according to the latest IBD/TIPP poll.

The poll, conducted from Feb. 24 through March 4, included 909 responses who were surveyed using live interviewers on cellphone and landlines. It has a margin of error of +/‐ 3.3 percentage points.

RESULTS:

55% said they’ve grown “weary from the media’s persistently negative coverage of President Trump.”

54% said the news media “has assumed the role of the opposition party, constantly opposing the president and his policies at every turn.”

Not surprisingly, Republicans overwhelmingly hold these views. More important is that a majority of Independents, plus 3 out of 10 Democrats do as well.

Sources:

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Filed under Donald Trump, Media Bias, Polls

TIPS for reading polls

Quinnipiac reports Donald Trump’s Total Approval is at 38%.  But on the same dates Quinnipiac sampled, Rasmussen showed Trump’s Total Approval at 53%, with 37% Strongly Approving.

Why the discrepancy? 

Quinnipiac skewed its data by undersampling Republicans and oversampling Democrats.

Polls are not that hard to read, but you do need to work at it. 

Regardless of how you feel about the reported result, DON’T JUST TRUST A HEADLINE!

TIPS FOR READING POLLS

Check the dates the poll was actually conducted. If any major event occurred AFTER that date that would have affected how people responded, look for a more recent poll.  The earlier one may be useful as a comparison, but it won’t be significant as a measure of current public opinion.

Check if the respondents were randomly selected or self-selected (like an on-line poll).  Ignore the latter.

Check the total sample size.  Ignore any national poll whose sample is fewer than 1,000.

Check the nature of the sample. A good poll will tell you what percentage of respondents were in significant groups for that poll. E.g., a political poll will list percentages for Democrats, Republicans, and Independents.  Google for the current statistics for the nation and ignore the poll if the percentages are way off.

The Quinnipiac poll has Trump’s Total Approval way too low, because its sample — 25% Republicans, 34% Democrats, and 33% Independentswas too far off from our current national breakdown of 28% Republicans, 25% Democrats, and 25% Independents.

Check if the poll reports the MOE (Margin of Error).  If it doesn’t, ignore it.  If it does, keep in mind that the MOE means whatever number is reported for a specific result is meaningful for the entire population within plus or minus the MOE.

E.g., A 50% result with an MOE of ±1 means that the overall truth of that result is between 49% and 51%.

If the above are good, then dive into the actual questions asked.  A good poll will not ask absurd or leading questions and will rotate the order of the answers offered to avoid bias.  If the poll does not offer you a look at the questions, ignore it

Sources:

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Filed under Democrats, Polls, Republicans