Oct 25th Electoral Maps

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SUMMARY

Obama Range: 201 to 277

Romney Range: 191 to 261

Tossup Range: 66 to 191

Needed to win: 270

Sources:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard

http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/president12.php

http://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/electoral-map/

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

H/t http://lastresistance.com/343/electoral-projection-maps-show-romney-gaining/

8 Comments

Filed under Elections

8 responses to “Oct 25th Electoral Maps

  1. chrissythehyphenated

    I got an email from Lloyd Marcus:

    There’s news out from RealClearPolitics this morning. Their new Electoral College map shows that this election will likely be determined on what happens in 5 key states:

    Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa and Ohio.

    Several weeks ago all five of these states were colored “Dark Blue” – meaning that polls showed that they were solidly in Obama’s camp. Then a couple weeks ago they were all moved to “Light Blue” meaning that they were leaning towards Obama. And now, all 5 states are colored “Gray” – meaning that they are Toss-Up states which could go either way on Election Day.

    These states account for 70 Electoral Votes, and if we can win 3 of these 5 states, then Barack Obama cannot win re-election.

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  2. chrissythehyphenated

    Romney campaign on OHIO – Oct 25
    http://www.mittromney.com/blog/state-ohio-presidential-campaign

    Rasmussen this week showed it tied at 48%, Suffolk tied at 47%, and Angus-Reid tied at 48%.

    Our view is that the race is a dead heat with Romney on an unmistakable upward track.

    All the public surveys show Romney winning among Independent voters.

    Looking back at the past five major statewide races in Ohio, the candidate who wins Independents has won the state

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  3. chrissythehyphenated

    Latest poll listed at RCP for Michigan
    http://www.myfoxdetroit.com/story/19905504/michigan-poll-obama-and-romney-in-dead-heat

    Thirty five thousand (35,000) calls were placed, and 1,122 respondents fully participated in the survey. The margin of error for this total polling sample is 2.93% with a confidence level of 95%.

    The 2012 United States Presidential election will be held on November 6, 2012. Who are you most likely to vote for in the election?

    President Barack Obama 46.92%
    Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.56%
    another candidate 2.30%
    Undecided 4.23%

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  4. chrissythehyphenated

    WISCONSIN @ Rasmussen … latest poll I could find, but still pre-3rd-debate.

    October 19, 2012 – Obama 50% vs Romney 48% vs. Other 1%.

    No undecided listed, so dunno if all these are rounded down enough to add up to the final 1% or what. Plus no 3rd debate data, so who knows.

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