Daily Archives: October 1, 2012

THE DAILY PETE’S PIX

Posted by Pistol Pete

It’s been pretty slim pickings today.

As granny used to say,’some days you got the words and you just ain’t got the music.’

I never understood it as a child,but over time I figured it out.

25 Comments

Filed under Loose Pollen

THE MONDAY GRUDGE

Posted by Pistol Pete

Still no luck uploading pictures.

I was going to do a post over the weekend,but I’ve had a debilitating migraine for two days.Part of it may be attributable to the non-stop barrage of media propaganda of how Barry will easily win the upcoming election.It seems to be a foregone conclusion and the rest is just details.I heard a CBS poll this morning that gives Romney a 48-46% edge among registered voters,but they said voters think Obama will win by a margin of 2-1.If there was any validity to their numbers it would indicate the psychological warfare they’ve been waging on the electorate is working.

The first debate is two days away.No one is anticipating the event with more emotion than the press.They have set the bar so low for the president he could step over it.Meanwhile Obama has likened Romney to the greatest debater since Daniel Webster.We all know this is nothing but a tawdry game.There is no way Romney can win in their eyes and Bozo knows how he’ll answer every question.Liberals always have a talking point they’re going to use no matter what.I’m not telling you anything you don’t already know.Ask a question,they’ll give you a totally unrelated answer.Ask them again,get the same answer.After a while they figure you’ll just give up trying to get an honest response and they win.

I have not decided whether I’ll even watch the debate or not since the outcome is a given.Barry will be asked about the Libyan attack and he’ll lie, just like his lackeys have at his command.He’ll lie about how many jobs he’s created,how the economy is improving,how he cut taxes for 95% of Americans,etc.,etc.,etc.

Romney will probably back off saying anything negative about the purple-lipped prick for fear of being labeled a racist.It’s Barry’s only defense and its worked well for him so far.Earth to Mitt: THEY’RE GOING TO CALL YOU A RACIST ANYWAY! Hopefully he has the balls to speak the truth,but so far he hasn’t shown the fire he had when he was competing for the nomination.It won’t take long to see how the night is going to go.

Some of the links I’m posting are a few days old,but being opinion pieces,they are still worth reading.I would not waste your time otherwise.

41 Comments

Filed under Loose Pollen

Does this mean I’ve hit the big time?

I love it! 🙂

Click on graphic to embiggen.

The article is @ http://newsbusters.org/blogs/matthew-sheffield/2012/09/29/polling-industry-has-historically-underestimated-gop-vote

Why The Polls Understate Romney Vote By Dick Morris – September 21, 2012
http://www.dickmorris.com/why-the-polls-under-state-romney-vote/

Republicans are getting depressed under an avalanche of polling suggesting that an Obama victory is in the offing. They, in fact, suggest no such thing! Here’s why:

1. All of the polling out there uses some variant of the 2008 election turnout as its model for weighting respondents and this overstates the Democratic vote by a huge margin.

In English, this means that when you do a poll you ask people if they are likely to vote. But any telephone survey always has too few blacks, Latinos, and young people and too many elderly in its sample. That’s because some don’t have landlines or are rarely at home or don’t speak English well enough to be interviewed or don’t have time to talk. Elderly are overstated because they tend to be home and to have time. So you need to increase the weight given to interviews with young people, blacks and Latinos and count those with seniors a bit less.

Normally, this task is not difficult. Over the years, the black, Latino, young, and elderly proportion of the electorate has been fairly constant from election to election, except for a gradual increase in the Hispanic vote. You just need to look back at the last election to weight your polling numbers for this one.

But 2008 was no ordinary election. Blacks, for example, usually cast only 11% of the vote, but, in 2008, they made up 14% of the vote. Latinos increased their share of the vote by 1.5% and college kids almost doubled their vote share. Almost all pollsters are using the 2008 turnout models in weighting their samples. Rasmussen, more accurately, uses a mixture of 2008 and 2004 turnouts in determining his sample. That’s why his data usually is better for Romney.

But polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among Obama’s core demographic support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and performance, and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has already served as president.

If you adjust virtually any of the published polls to reflect the 2004 vote, not the 2008 vote, they show the race either tied or Romney ahead, a view much closer to reality.

2. Almost all of the published polls show Obama getting less than 50% of the vote and less than 50% job approval. A majority of the voters either support Romney or are undecided in almost every poll.

But the fact is that the undecided vote always goes against the incumbent. In 1980 (the last time an incumbent Democrat was beaten), for example, the Gallup Poll of October 27th had Carter ahead by 45-39. Their survey on November 2nd showed Reagan catching up and leading by three points. In the actual voting, the Republican won by nine. The undecided vote broke sharply — and unanimously — for the challenger.

An undecided voter has really decided not to back the incumbent. He just won’t focus on the race until later in the game.

So, when the published poll shows Obama ahead by, say, 48-45, he’s really probably losing by 52-48!

Add these two factors together and the polls that are out there are all misleading. Any professional pollster (those consultants hired by candidates not by media outlets) would publish two findings for each poll — one using 2004 turnout modeling and the other using 2008 modeling. This would indicate just how dependent on an unusually high turnout of his base the Obama camp really is.

6 Comments

Filed under Democrats, Elections, Polls, Republicans

Funday Monday

7 Comments

Filed under Funny Stuff

The company they keep

A man wished to purchase an Ass, and decided to give the animal a test before buying him. He took the Ass home and put him in the field with his other Asses.

The new Ass strayed from the others to join the one that was the laziest and the biggest eater of them all. Seeing this, the man led him back to his owner.

When the owner asked how he could have tested the Ass in such a short time, the man answered, “I didn’t even need to see how he worked. I knew he would be just like the one he chose to be his friend.”

Aesop’s Moral: You are known by the company you keep.

Click on graphic to embiggen.

If you like this, you might also want to read @ http://news.webshots.com/photo/2991002790056011884ZsPSMM

Source:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?&v=i7R78LOpyM8

http://www.ijreview.com/2012/09/17210-madonna-obama-is-a-black-muslim/

2 Comments

Filed under Barack Obama

Under GOD, we are all equal

Under Obama, not so much. This cartoon is from before the HHS mandate. You can add mandatory insurance coverage for birth control and abortifacient drugs to that one of the right.

Chrissy’s Site Bites @ http://news.webshots.com/photo/2002264290056011884XKVdDy

Click on graphic to embiggen.

If you like this, you might also want to read @ http://news.webshots.com/photo/2199711220056011884dMTlMq

Comments Off on Under GOD, we are all equal

Filed under Abortion, Barack Obama, Equality, Liberty